Aluminum Premiums Outlook Update (October 5, 2022)

1. LME PRICE & WORLD PREMIUMS. LME’s discussion paper and banning of conflicted units could disrupt aluminum market order, accelerate plunge in aluminum prices and premiums, and alter the competitive landscape of exchanges (From September 30).

2. EUROPEAN P1020 PREMIUMS. GAPS DOWN: European P1020 premiums plummet to as low as $... per mton (From September 29).

3. EUROPE WIRE ROD ALERT. BULLISH EXCEPTION: EC rod 2023 premiums and green upcharge spike (From October 3).

4. EUROPE PFA ALERT. PFA IN BEARISH CORRECTION: European PFA spot premiums fall to $... per mton (From September 30).

5. EUROPEAN BILLET ALERT. DECLINE RESUMES: European spot billet premiums drop to as low as $... per mton (From September 29). Regional billet premiums weaken down to three digits for the first time in over a year, while regional primary billet curtailments continue now amid plunging demand. To see our full European Billet Market Intel and Premiums assessment, please subscribe to our specialized European Billet Intelligence Report.