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Premiums Outlook Report


Previous Reports

> HARBOR's Aluminum Intelligence Report: No Meaningful Improvement in Market Fundamentals
16-May-13
> HARBOR's Aluminum Intelligence Report: No Meaningful Improvement in Market Fundamentals
16-May-13
> HARBOR's Aluminum Intelligence Report: We Now Expect a Balanced Market, but will Hardly Make a Difference
27-Mar-13
> HARBOR's Aluminum Intelligence Report: Moving Towards a Balanced Market, Pressure for Premiums but not Much for Prices
8-Feb-13

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Previous Reports

> HARBOR's Global Output Aluminum Analysis: Significant Aluminum Production Expansion Coming Ahead
21-May-13
> HARBOR's Global Output Aluminum Analysis: Negative Economics Hit Smelting Production Run-Rates; Downgrading 2013 Again
24-Apr-13
> HARBOR Global Output Aluminum Analysis: Global Primary Production Continues to Increase as China Reaches Record Levels
21-Mar-13
> HARBOR's Global Output Aluminum Analysis: Primary Aluminum Production at Multi-Year Lows in Europe & Latam
20-Feb-13

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Previous Reports

> HARBOR Alumina and Bauxite Intelligence Report: Downgrading our Price Forecasts; Now Expecting a Surplus for 2013
10-Apr-13
> HARBOR's Alumina and Bauxite Intelligence Report: Downgrading our Price Forecasts; Now Expecting a Surplus for 2013
8-Apr-13
> HARBOR Alumina and Bauxite Intelligence Report: Alumina, A Gradual Fundamental Turnaround
6-Feb-13
> Alumina/Bauxite Intelligence Report: Alumina, A Gradual Fundamental Turnaround
6-Feb-13

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Previous Reports

> HARBOR Weekly Aluminum Summary: China’s end-user demand figures disappointed again; lowest weekly close price since Sep 2009
24-May-13
> HARBOR Weekly Aluminum Summary: US & Europe premiums heading to fresh highs
11-Jan-13
> HARBOR Weekly Aluminum Summary: Manufacturing cycle likely turned around; weak upward trend in prices remains
4-Jan-13
> HARBOR Weekly Aluminum Summary: Canceled warrants at all-time high should increase physical premiums
28-Dec-12
> Special Weekly Aluminum Analysis: What is the Market Telling Us with Respect to Premiums, Prices, Hedging and the LME?
17-Oct-12
> Special Weekly Aluminum Analysis: What is the Market Telling Us with Respect to Premiums, Prices, Hedging and the LME?
17-Oct-12

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Previous Reports

> HARBOR Daily Aluminum Commentary: US MW ingot premiums at fresh record high; LME market participants stepping to the sidelines
17-Jun-13
> HARBOR Weekly Aluminum Summary: Prices plunge toward support at $1,850 per mton; load-out queues in Vlissingen at fresh record highs
14-Jun-13
> HARBOR Daily Aluminum Commentary: Further output cuts in China; Century files definitive agreement to avoid Hawesville’s shutdown
13-Jun-13
> HARBOR Daily Aluminum Commentary: Canceled warrants and load-out queues at Vlissingen reach an all-time high
11-Jun-13
> HARBOR Daily Aluminum Commentary: Inventories at Vlissingen reach an all-time high; Chinese aluminum imports reach seven-month high
10-Jun-13
> HARBOR Weekly Aluminum Summary: Aluminum prices up in the week on technical fund buying; additional production is curtailed
7-Jun-13
> HARBOR Weekly Aluminum Summary: HARBOR's model has triggered a tactical “buy” signal; US MW premiums rise to record high
31-May-13
> HARBOR Daily Aluminum Commentary: Japanese aluminum demand still contracting y/y; Alcoa downgraded by Moody's
29-May-13
> HARBOR Daily Aluminum Commentary: Hindalco aluminum expansions on schedule; global producer inventories at a near three-year low
28-May-13
> HARBOR Weekly Aluminum Summary: China’s end-user demand figures disappointed again; lowest weekly close price since Sep 2009
24-May-13
> HARBOR Daily Aluminum Commentary: Funds sell short emboldened by negative data out of China; RTA delays expansion, Novelis cuts
23-May-13
> HARBOR Daily Aluminum Commentary: North American can stock shipments back to annual expansion mode in April
22-May-13
> HARBOR Daily Aluminum Commentary: Ormet at risk of cutting output in July but more restarts imminent in Europe
21-May-13
> HARBOR Daily Aluminum Commentary: China continues to increase aluminum production more than offsetting ROW's output declines
20-May-13
> HARBOR Weekly Aluminum Summary: Some producers cutting output, others deferring closures / accelerating expansions
17-May-13
> HARBOR Daily Aluminum Commentary: Funds continue to short; rolled products demand expanding in Asia & South America
15-May-13
> HARBOR Daily Aluminum Commentary: Funds continue to short; rolled products demand expanding in Asia & South America
15-May-13
> HARBOR Daily Aluminum Commentary: Funds continue to short; rolled products demand expanding in Asia & South America
15-May-13
> HARBOR Daily Aluminum Commentary: Large buildups in Vlissingen and Detroit; inventory concentration at a record high
14-May-13
> HARBOR Daily Aluminum Commentary: Aluminum output restarts likely in China amid power subsidies
13-May-13

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Previous Reports

> HARBOR Aluminum Alert: LME inventories and queues at fresh record high again driven by Detroit; 3M-cash contango widens further
19-Jun-13
> HARBOR Aluminum Alert: MW premiums reach a record high, 3M-cash contango at widest since 2008, HARBOR downgrades 2014 price forecasts
18-Jun-13
> HARBOR Aluminum Alert: MW premiums reach a record high, 3M-cash contango at widest since 2008, HARBOR downgrades 2014 price forecasts
18-Jun-13
> HARBOR Aluminum Alert: Hydro declares force majeure at Alunorte refinery; prices fall for fifth day in a row
12-Jun-13
> HARBOR Aluminum Alert: HARBOR's tactical model could trigger a “buy” signal tomorrow
30-May-13
> HARBOR Aluminum Alert: Alcoa to cut aluminum production in Canada; why it won't make much of a difference
16-May-13
> HARBOR Aluminum Alert: Alcoa to cut aluminum production in Canada; why it won't make much of a difference
16-May-13
> HARBOR Aluminum Alert: Alcoa to cut aluminum production in Canada; why it won't make much of a difference
16-May-13
> HARBOR Aluminum Alert: Prices down but support still in place; Alcoa expanding USA automotive sheet capacity
2-May-13
> HARBOR Aluminum Alert: Prices fall and ups odds of more declines; Alcoa studies capacity cuts (doesn’t really make a difference)
1-May-13
> HARBOR Aluminum Alert: Prices fall and ups odds of more declines; Alcoa studies capacity cuts (doesn’t really make a difference)
1-May-13
> HARBOR Aluminum Alert: Century will buy RTA’s Sebree smelter in USA, reaches tentative power agreement for Hawesville
29-Apr-13
> HARBOR Aluminum Alert: Aluminum prices could trigger tactical "buy" signal tomorrow; Chalco cuts aluminum production
25-Apr-13
> HARBOR Aluminum Alert: Novelis hikes conversion prices for aluminum sheet; LME prices return above $1,900 per mton
24-Apr-13
> HARBOR Aluminum Alert: Big Nasaac cancelation; contrasting structural signals between Europe and the Americas
17-Apr-13
> HARBOR Aluminum Alert: Bargain hunting and profit taken by shorts push price back above $1,900 per mton
16-Apr-13
> HARBOR Aluminum Alert: Prices touch 2012's lows; market starting to think China will no longer be bullish for metals as before
15-Apr-13
> HARBOR Aluminum Alert: June-July LME price backwardation gone… HARBOR expecting fresh upward pressure on premiums
8-Apr-13
> HARBOR Aluminum Alert: Prices at a seven-month low as China and the US disappoint and Europe's recession continued
2-Apr-13
> HARBOR Aluminum Alert: Prices hit $1,900 per mton, low end of HARBOR's expected main trading range
27-Mar-13

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